V. Mboko shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 39. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving V. Mboko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Mboko has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

K. Siniakova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.8 to 14.0, with at least one match where K. Siniakova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving K. Siniakova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.