C. Sanchez Jover has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.4 to 34.9, with at least one match where C. Sanchez Jover was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Sanchez Jover vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+34) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

M. Tobon comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning M. Tobon has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.