Odds
Player analysis
A. Tabilo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Tabilo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. De Jong has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.0 with a downward trend. J. De Jong is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. De Jong has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Michelsen | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Comesana | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 8 Mar | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 6 Mar | Jodar | 6-1 6-2 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Baena | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Ruiz | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 18 Mar | Houkes | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hassan | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Choinski | 6-1 7-6 | L |

