MiamiHard20 Mar 2026 · 15:00
A. Rublev
#16 · Russia
VS
A. Tabilo
#41 · Chile

Odds

Market
Rublev
Tabilo
Change
Winner

Player analysis

A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 6.82Trend mixed

A. Tabilo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.4 to 30.2, with at least one match where A. Tabilo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Tabilo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Tabilo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS 4.23Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWW

3W 2L last 5

7 MarDiallo7-6 6-7 3-6L
27 FebGriekspoor5-7 6-7L
26 FebRinderknech6-2 6-4W
25 FebHumbert6-4 6-7 6-3W
24 FebRoyer6-3 6-4W
Recent form bar chartWLWLW

3W 2L last 5

19 MarComesana6-4 6-2W
8 MarMedvedev6-4 6-2L
6 MarJodar6-1 6-2W
28 FebBaez6-7 1-6L
27 FebTirante4-6 6-3 6-3W

Hard court stats

Rublev
Stat
Tabilo
62.8%
Win rate
54.4%
311–184
W–L
87–73

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces11
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults0