Odds
Player analysis
S. Pieri has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.7 to 15.0, with at least one match where S. Pieri was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving S. Pieri vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Pieri has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
J. De Jong shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 185. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 21.4, with at least one match where J. De Jong was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 23 Mar | Yevseyev | 2-6 6-1 5-7 | W |
| 22 Mar | Sanchez | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 17 Mar | Michalski | 3-6 0-6 | L |
| 16 Mar | Lee | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | W |
| 15 Mar | Rakonic | 6-1 6-0 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Baena | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Ruiz | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 18 Mar | Houkes | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hassan | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Choinski | 6-1 7-6 | L |

