MadridClayATP Quarter-finals29 Apr 2026 · 16:10
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
R. Jodar
#42 · Spain
SINNER
1.132
·
JODAR
6.82

Odds

Market
Sinner
Jodar
Winner
1.132
6.82
Total
line 21.5
2.04
Over 21.5
1.69
Under 21.5
Total
line 20.5
1.91
Over 20.5
1.8
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.36
-5.5 games
1.58
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
1.37
-3.5 games
3
+3.5 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Sinner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.

DS 11.44Trend down

R. Jodar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 43. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Jodar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 5.65Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Jodar
71.8%
Win rate
54.8%
89–35
W–L
17–14

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults1