MadridClay1/32-finals24 Apr 2026 · 16:10
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
B. Bonzi
#104 · France
SINNER
1.014
·
BONZI
36.6

Odds

Market
Sinner
Bonzi
Winner
1.014
36.6
Total
line 16.5
1.6
Over 16.5
2.25
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.68
Over 17.0
2.08
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
1.3
-5.5 games
3.2
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.28
-7.5 games
1.57
+7.5 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Sinner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.

DS 11.44Trend down

B. Bonzi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+32) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.38Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Bonzi
71.8%
Win rate
47.7%
89–35
W–L
62–68

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved80%
Aces4
Double faults1
BP converted50%

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Indoor 10
Hard 10
J. Sinner vs B. Bonzi head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
RotterdamIndoor1/16-finalsSinner2-6 6-3 1-6
Indian WellsHard1/16-finalsSinner7-6 3-6 6-4