Odds
Player analysis
C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 37. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-18 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Carlo | Clay | ATP Final | Sinner | 6-7 3-6 | |
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 6-7 5-7 | |
| US Open | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-3 1-6 4-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | Final | Sinner | 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 | |
| French Open | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 6-4 7-6 4-6 6-7 6-7 | |
| Rome | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 6-7 1-6 | |
| ATP Beijing | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 7-6 4-6 6-7 |