Monte CarloClayATP Final12 Apr 2026 · 15:10
C. Alcaraz
ATP #2Spain
VS
J. Sinner
ATP #1Italy
ALCARAZ
1.98
·
SINNER
1.9

Odds

Market
Alcaraz
Sinner
Winner
1.98
1.9
Total
line 18.5
1.16
Over 18.5
4.25
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.19
Over 19.0
3.98
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
6.35
-5.5 games
1.11
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
5.85
-5.0 games
1.13
+5 games

Player analysis

C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 38. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.67Trend mixed

J. Sinner shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 52. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.8 to 21.2, with at least one match where J. Sinner was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Sinner vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 9.68Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Alcaraz
Stat
Sinner
81.3%
Win rate
71.8%
157–36
W–L
89–35

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
AlcarazSinner

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #2Alcaraz vs SinnerATP #1

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Alcaraz 81% (15736) · Sinner 72% (8935)

Last match at Monte Carlo

W11 Apr 2026 · ATP Monte Carlo - Semi-finals
vs V. Vacherot · 6-4 6-4
1st serve61%1st won80.7%Aces3BP conv75%

No finished matches at Monte Carlo yet.

Quick comparison

AlcarazStatSinner
81%Clay W%72%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)80%
50%BP conv (L5)50%
3Aces (L5 avg)5