MadridClay1/16-finals26 Apr 2026 · 16:10
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
E. Moller
#169 · Denmark
SINNER
1.021
·
MOLLER
28.13

Odds

Market
Sinner
Moller
Winner
1.021
28.13
Total
line 17.5
2
Over 17.5
1.73
Under 17.5
Total
line 16.5
1.6
Over 16.5
2.2
Under 16.5
Handicap
games
3.2
-8.5 games
1.32
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
1.53
-6.5 games
2.2
+6.5 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Sinner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -41 over recent matches.

DS 14.47Trend mixed

E. Moller has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning E. Moller has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Moller vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.1Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Moller
71.8%
Win rate
68.4%
89–35
W–L
121–56

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
BP saved20%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults5