H. Hurkacz comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.6, meaning H. Hurkacz has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

L. Darderi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.3 to 9.9, with at least one match where L. Darderi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving L. Darderi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Darderi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.