Odds
Player analysis
J. Munar comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 24.7, with at least one match where J. Munar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Munar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Munar has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 8.6, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 21 May | Navone | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 20 May | Comesana | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 May | Basavareddy | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 16 May | Vallejo | 4-6 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 14 May | Dzumhur | 2-6 6-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 6 May | Hanfmann | 7-6 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 3 May | Arnaldi | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 2 May | Burruchaga | 4-6 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 1 May | Berrettini | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 30 Apr | Nava | 4-6 1-6 | W |

