Odds
Player analysis
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
U. Humbert has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.3 to 11.7, with at least one match where U. Humbert was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving U. Humbert vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 26 May | Walton | 6-2 1-6 6-1 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 16 May | Sinner | 6-2 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 14 May | Landaluce | 6-1 4-6 5-7 | W |
| 12 May | Tirante | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 11 May | Ruiz | 6-3 4-6 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 27 May | Halys | 4-6 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 25 May | Mannarino | 6-3 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 21 May | Buse | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | L |
| 20 May | Khachanov | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | W |
| 19 May | Engel | 3-6 6-3 6-7 | W |

