Kigali 2Clay1/16-finals10 Mar 2026 · 09:10
M. Houkes
#251 · Netherlands
VS
L. Pavlovic
#219 · France
HOUKES
2.62
·
PAVLOVIC
1.44

Odds

Market
Houkes
Pavlovic
Winner
2.62
1.44
Total
line 20.5
1.58
Over 20.5
2.17
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.66
Over 21.0
2.06
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
2.08
-2.0 games
1.65
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.83
-2.5 games
1.83
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Houkes comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning M. Houkes has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Houkes vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Houkes has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -0.64Trend mixed

L. Pavlovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning L. Pavlovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving L. Pavlovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.08Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

13 MarTrungelliti6-7 7-6 6-3L
11 MarDonski6-7 6-7W
10 MarPavlovic4-6 6-2 6-2W
3 MarNijboer3-6 3-6L
16 FebHemery2-6 5-7L
Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

10 MarHoukes4-6 6-2 6-2L
5 MarNapolitano4-6 3-6L
4 MarCoulibaly6-2 6-4W
3 MarTiffon6-1 6-4W
9 FebZandschulp6-7 3-6L

Clay court stats

Houkes
Stat
Pavlovic
64.6%
Win rate
64.6%
195–107
W–L
124–68

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces12
Double faults4