KigaliClay1/16-finals3 Mar 2026 · 09:10
M. Houkes
#251 · Netherlands
VS
R. Nijboer
#495 · Netherlands
HOUKES
1.4
·
NIJBOER
3.14

Odds

Market
Houkes
Nijboer
Winner
1.4
3.14

Player analysis

M. Houkes comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning M. Houkes has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Houkes vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Houkes has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -0.64Trend mixed

R. Nijboer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.8 to 43.2, with at least one match where R. Nijboer was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Nijboer has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS 10.96Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

13 MarTrungelliti6-7 7-6 6-3L
11 MarDonski6-7 6-7W
10 MarPavlovic4-6 6-2 6-2W
3 MarNijboer3-6 3-6L
16 FebHemery2-6 5-7L
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarJianu6-7 5-7L
9 MarBeckles6-0 6-2W
4 MarHemery6-4 6-4L
3 MarHoukes3-6 3-6W
2 MarSteiner7-6 6-3W

Clay court stats

Houkes
Stat
Nijboer
64.6%
Win rate
56.5%
195–107
W–L
147–113

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults1