BirminghamGrassFinal1 Jun 2026 · 11:40
A. Holmgren
ATP #156Denmark
VS
J. Watt
ATP #717New Zealand
HOLMGREN
1.236
·
WATT
4.26

Odds

Market
Holmgren
Watt
Winner
1.236
4.26
Total
line 22.5
1.654
Over 22.5
2.23
Under 22.5
Total
line 23.0
1.826
Over 23.0
2
Under 23.0
Handicap
games
2.28
-3.5 games
1.633
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.84
-3.0 games
1.99
+3 games

Player analysis

A. Holmgren has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 17.3, with at least one match where A. Holmgren was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Holmgren has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS 2.67Trend mixed

J. Watt has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. J. Watt is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Watt has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 1.11Trend down

Recent form

Grass court stats

Holmgren
Stat
Watt
66.7%
Win rate
40%
6–3
W–L
4–6

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
HolmgrenWatt

No prior meetings

Grass 00first on grass
ATP #156Holmgren vs WattATP #717

Grass H2H: 00 — first meeting on grass

Grass win rate (season): Holmgren 67% (63) · Watt 40% (46)

Last match at Birmingham

W31 May 2026 · Semi-finals
vs O. Okonkwo · 7-6 6-2
1st serve64%1st won89.7%Aces5BP conv28.6%
W31 May 2026 · Semi-finals
vs A. Ghibaudo · 7-6 6-4
1st serve76%1st won80.4%Aces9BP conv50%

Quick comparison

HolmgrenStatWatt
67%Grass W%40%
60%1st serve % (L5)70%
80%1st serve won (L5)70%
20%BP conv (L5)40%
5Aces (L5 avg)5