Odds
Player analysis
A. Holmgren has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.6 to 17.3, with at least one match where A. Holmgren was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Holmgren has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
D. Jade comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.0, meaning D. Jade has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Jade vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 18 May | Virtanen | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 14 May | Alexandrescou | 6-7 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 13 May | Dodig | 6-7 6-3 3-6 | W |
| 9 May | Heide | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | L |
| 8 May | Schoenhaus | 7-5 2-6 6-3 | W |

