French OpenClayATP Final21 May 2026 · 11:05
A. Holmgren
#156 · Denmark
VS
F. Diaz Acosta
#151 · Argentina
HOLMGREN
3.46
·
ACOSTA
1.333

Odds

Market
Holmgren
Acosta
Winner
3.46
1.333
Total
line 22.5
2
Over 22.5
1.826
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.725
Over 21.5
2.14
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
2.2
+3.0 games
1.69
-3 games
Handicap
games
1.709
+4.0 games
2.16
-4 games

Player analysis

A. Holmgren has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.6 to 17.3, with at least one match where A. Holmgren was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Holmgren has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS 4.67Trend mixed

F. Diaz Acosta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 177. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving F. Diaz Acosta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Diaz Acosta has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS 6.72Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Holmgren
Stat
Acosta
56.5%
Win rate
63%
35–27
W–L
201–118

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2