Odds
Player analysis
R. Hijikata comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning R. Hijikata has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
N. Basilashvili has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.7 to 3.6, with at least one match where N. Basilashvili was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Basilashvili vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Basilashvili has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 May | Basile | 5-7 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 1 May | Bergs | 5-7 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 30 Apr | Ofner | 6-4 2-6 7-6 | W |
| 29 Apr | Chidekh | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Rodesch | 6-7 2-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 May | Moller | 6-4 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 28 Apr | Kopp | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 22 Apr | Ofner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 21 Apr | Kypson | 7-6 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Travaglia | 6-7 4-6 | W |

