TylerHardSemi-finals1 Jun 2026 · 19:35
K. Poling
ATP #611USA
VS
J. D. Hara Friend
ATP #436Japan
POLING
6.81
·
FRIEND
1.109

Odds

Market
Poling
Friend
Winner
6.81
1.109
Total
line 19.5
1.96
Over 19.5
1.76
Under 19.5
Total
line 19.0
1.901
Over 19.0
1.917
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
1.588
+6.5 games
2.37
-6.5 games
Handicap
games
2.04
+5.5 games
1.8
-5.5 games

Player analysis

K. Poling comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning K. Poling has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving K. Poling vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS -0.55Trend mixed

J. D. Hara Friend comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.0 with a downward trend. J. D. Hara Friend is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. D. Hara Friend vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 3.01Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Poling
Stat
Friend
48.3%
Win rate
68.9%
43–46
W–L
31–14

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
PolingFriend

No prior meetings

Hard 00first on hard
ATP #611Poling vs FriendATP #436

Hard H2H: 00 — first meeting on hard

Hard win rate (season): Poling 48% (4346) · Friend 69% (3114)

Quick comparison

PolingStatFriend
48%Hard W%69%
70%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
60%BP conv (L5)60%
2Aces (L5 avg)6