Mexico CityClayFinal6 Apr 2026 · 21:25
R. Catry
ATP #553France
VS
K. Poling
ATP #611USA
CATRY
1.85
·
POLING
1.99

Odds

Market
Catry
Poling
Winner
1.85
1.99
Total
line 20.5
1.69
Over 20.5
2.15
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.67
Over 21.0
2.05
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.95
-3.5 games
1.75
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
2.16
-3.0 games
1.68
+3 games

Player analysis

R. Catry comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.1 to 29.3, with at least one match where R. Catry was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Catry vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

DS 3.74Trend mixed

K. Poling comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.9. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving K. Poling vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 5.92Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Catry
Stat
Poling
50%
Win rate
51.9%
5–5
W–L
14–13

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults6
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults4

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
CatryPoling

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #553Catry vs PolingATP #611

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Catry 50% (55) · Poling 52% (1413)

Last match at Mexico City

W6 Apr 2026 · Semi-finals
vs M. Schtulmann Gasca · 6-1 6-1
1st serve49%1st won100%Aces9BP conv33.3%
L7 Apr 2026 · 1/16-finals
vs A. Hernandez · 7-5 6-4
1st serve74%1st won51.9%Aces1BP conv100%

Quick comparison

CatryStatPoling
50%Clay W%52%
50%1st serve % (L5)70%
80%1st serve won (L5)70%
50%BP conv (L5)60%
9Aces (L5 avg)1