Odds
Player analysis
A. De Minaur has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.2 to 18.8, with at least one match where A. De Minaur was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Fils has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning A. Fils has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Fils vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Fils has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Mar | Norrie | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Korda | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Kypson | 6-1 6-7 7-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 14 Feb | Humbert | 6-4 6-3 | W |

