MadridClayATP Semi-finals1 May 2026 · 16:00
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
A. Fils
#25 · France
SINNER
1.18
·
FILS
5.61
5.58

Odds

Market
Sinner
Fils
Change
Winner
1.18
5.61
0.03
Total
line 21.5
1.91
Over 21.5
1.8
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
2.3
Over 22.5
1.61
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
2.16
-4.5 games
1.68
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.8
-5.5 games
1.38
+5.5 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Sinner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.

DS 11.44Trend down

A. Fils arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-45 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 8.99Trend mixed

Recent form

WWWWW

5W 0L last 5

29 AprJodar6-2 7-6W
28 AprNorrie6-2 7-5W
26 AprMoller6-2 6-3W
24 AprBonzi6-7 6-1 6-4W
12 AprAlcaraz6-7 3-6W
WWWWW

5W 0L last 5

29 AprLehecka6-3 6-4W
28 AprEtcheverry3-6 4-6W
26 AprNava7-6 6-3W
24 AprBuse6-7 7-6 7-5W
19 AprRublev2-6 6-7W

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Fils
71.8%
Win rate
60.8%
89–35
W–L
87–56

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
Aces3
Double faults2
BP saved70%

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Indoor 10
J. Sinner vs A. Fils head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MontpellierIndoorSemi-finalsSinner5-7 2-6