RosarioClay1/16-finals3 Feb 2026 · 19:10
J. Estevez
#435 · Argentina
VS
A. Pellegrino
#128 · Italy
ESTEVEZ
2.05
·
PELLEGRINO
1.83

Odds

Market
Estevez
Pellegrino
Winner
2.05
1.83

Player analysis

J. Estevez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +8.8 (range: -7.5 to 38.7). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Estevez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Estevez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS 8.78Trend up

A. Pellegrino shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 285. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 13.0, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 3.78Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLWW

2W 3L last 5

24 FebJover4-6 6-7L
16 FebChelia6-4 6-7 2-6L
3 FebPellegrino4-6 6-2 4-6L
2 FebZarate6-1 6-3W
1 FebGaray6-1 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

27 FebDarderi3-6 6-3 2-6L
25 FebComesana6-7 7-6 3-6W
23 FebBarrena6-2 2-6 6-1W
22 FebGalan6-7 7-6 6-4W
21 FebVillalon6-3 6-4W

Clay court stats

Estevez
Stat
Pellegrino
55.3%
Win rate
54.4%
89–72
W–L
233–195

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved30%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3