Odds
Player analysis
J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.5, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. De Jong has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
G. Diallo comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning G. Diallo has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving G. Diallo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Diallo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 21 Feb | Choinski | 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rublev | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 11 Feb | Khachanov | 3-6 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 8 Feb | Nagal | 7-5 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Feb | Suresh | 6-4 7-5 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 4 Mar | Bellucci | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Walton | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 10 Feb | Shelton | 4-6 4-6 | L |

