ShanghaiHard1/16-finals6 Oct 2025 · 10:45
L. Darderi
#17 · Italy
VS
L. Musetti
#11 · Italy
DARDERI
4.66
·
MUSETTI
1.24

Odds

Market
Darderi
Musetti
Winner
4.66
1.24
Total
line 17.5
1.12
Over 17.5
4.7
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.14
Over 18.0
4.35
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
3.34
-2.0 games
1.3
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.91
-2.5 games
1.38
+2.5 games

Player analysis

L. Darderi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning L. Darderi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Darderi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Darderi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS -4.25Trend down

L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Musetti has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -3.65Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Darderi
Stat
Musetti
45.9%
Win rate
64.3%
34–40
W–L
27–15

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

03
Hard 01
Grass 01
Indoor 01
L. Darderi vs L. Musetti head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ShanghaiHard1/16-finalsMusetti5-7 6-7
ATP WimbledonGrass1/32-finalsMusetti4-6 6-4 7-6 4-6 4-6
Turin 2 Challenger MenIndoorSemi-finalsMusetti7-5 7-6