RomeClayATP Final5 May 2026 · 10:20
C. Garin
#114 · Chile
VS
J. Choinski
#101 · United Kingdom
GARIN
1.35
·
CHOINSKI
3.36

Odds

Market
Garin
Choinski
Winner
1.35
3.36
Total
line 19.0
1.27
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.38
Over 19.5
2.62
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
4.6
-6.0 games
1.15
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.26
-5.5 games
1.28
+5.5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning C. Garin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -4.08Trend up

J. Choinski arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.0 with a downward trend. J. Choinski is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Garin
Stat
Choinski
60%
Win rate
61.9%
263–175
W–L
198–122

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Clay 10
C. Garin vs J. Choinski head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Braga Challenger MenClay1/16-finalsGarin2-6 7-6 1-6