MadridClayATP Semi-finals20 Apr 2026 · 16:35
H. Rocha
#118 · Portugal
VS
J. Choinski
#119 · United Kingdom
ROCHA
1.44
·
CHOINSKI
2.9

Odds

Market
Rocha
Choinski
Winner
1.44
2.9
Total
line 19.0
1.27
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.38
Over 19.5
2.62
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
4.85
-6.0 games
1.14
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.4
-5.5 games
1.26
+5.5 games

Player analysis

H. Rocha has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.0, meaning H. Rocha has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving H. Rocha vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS -0.02Trend mixed

J. Choinski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning J. Choinski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Choinski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -1.87Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rocha
Stat
Choinski
49.2%
Win rate
63%
64–66
W–L
194–114

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

11
Clay 11
H. Rocha vs J. Choinski head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
LisbonClay1/8-finalsRocha6-1 6-4
PragueClay1/16-finalsChoinski6-3 7-5