Odds
Player analysis
D. Lajovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning D. Lajovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving D. Lajovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Lajovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
J. Choinski arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.0 with a downward trend. J. Choinski is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 19 May | Rodionov | 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 15 May | Tabilo | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 14 May | Altmaier | 3-6 7-5 7-6 | W |
| 12 May | O'Connell | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 4 May | Choinski | 5-7 4-6 | L |
5W 0L last 5
| 19 May | Andrade | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 17 May | Fery | 5-7 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 17 May | Piros | 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 14 May | Rodesch | 6-7 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 14 May | Galan | 2-6 7-6 6-4 | W |

