WTA MeridaHardQuarter-finals28 Feb 2026 · 04:20
J. Paolini
#7 · Italy
VS
K. Boulter
#67 · United Kingdom
PAOLINI
1.55
·
BOULTER
2.61

Odds

Market
Paolini
Boulter
Winner
1.55
2.61

Player analysis

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.24Trend mixed

K. Boulter has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Boulter vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Boulter has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS 6.17Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLWLL

2W 3L last 5

3 MarBoulter6-2 5-7 2-6W
2 MarBoulter6-4 6-3L
28 FebBoulter0-6 6-3 6-3W
24 FebBoulter6-4 6-4L
7 FebBoulter5-7 6-2 6-1L
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

10 MarGibson7-5 2-6 6-1L
8 MarTomljanovic5-7 7-5 1-6W
6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
1 MarPaolini5-7 4-6W
28 FebPaolini0-6 6-3 6-3L

Hard court stats

Paolini
Stat
Boulter
54.2%
Win rate
57.4%
147–124
W–L
152–113

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved30%
Aces2
Double faults5

Head to head

41
Hard 20
Clay 10
Grass 10
Indoor 01
J. Paolini vs K. Boulter head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA MeridaHardQuarter-finalsPaolini0-6 6-3 6-3
MadridClay1/32-finalsPaolini1-6 2-6
WTA EastbourneGrassQuarter-finalsPaolini1-6 6-7
WTA LinzIndoor1/16-finalsBoulter6-2 6-2
Indian WellsHard1/64-finalsPaolini3-6 2-6