MadridClay1/32-finals25 Apr 2025 · 11:10
K. Boulter
#67 · United Kingdom
VS
J. Paolini
#7 · Italy

Odds

Market
Boulter
Paolini
Winner

Player analysis

K. Boulter has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Boulter vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Boulter has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS 6.17Trend up

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.24Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

10 MarGibson7-5 2-6 6-1L
8 MarTomljanovic5-7 7-5 1-6W
6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
1 MarPaolini5-7 4-6W
28 FebPaolini0-6 6-3 6-3L
Recent form bar chartWLWLL

2W 3L last 5

3 MarBoulter6-2 5-7 2-6W
2 MarBoulter6-4 6-3L
28 FebBoulter0-6 6-3 6-3W
24 FebBoulter6-4 6-4L
7 FebBoulter5-7 6-2 6-1L

Clay court stats

Boulter
Stat
Paolini
54.2%
Win rate
59.4%
13–11
W–L
117–80

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved30%
Aces2
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

14
Hard 02
Clay 01
Grass 01
Indoor 10
K. Boulter vs J. Paolini head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA MeridaHardQuarter-finalsPaolini0-6 6-3 6-3
MadridClay1/32-finalsPaolini1-6 2-6
WTA EastbourneGrassQuarter-finalsPaolini1-6 6-7
WTA LinzIndoor1/16-finalsBoulter6-2 6-2
Indian WellsHard1/64-finalsPaolini3-6 2-6