MiamiHardWTA 1/32-finals20 Mar 2026 · 21:30
T. Townsend
#80 · USA
VS
J. Paolini
#7 · Italy
TOWNSEND
2.13
·
PAOLINI
1.787

Odds

Market
Townsend
Paolini
Winner
2.13
1.787
Total
line 22.5
2.09
Over 22.5
1.781
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.8
Over 21.5
1.91
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.85
+3.0 games
1.87
-3 games
Handicap
games
1.62
+3.5 games
2.23
-3.5 games

Player analysis

T. Townsend has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Townsend vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 7.38Trend mixed

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.24Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLWWW

4W 1L last 5

19 MarSun6-7 3-6W
8 MarKostyuk6-3 6-2L
5 MarBouzkova2-6 1-6W
3 MarUrhobo0-6 6-7W
2 MarGarland4-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarGibson7-5 2-6 6-1L
8 MarTomljanovic5-7 7-5 1-6W
6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
1 MarBucsa5-7 4-6L
28 FebBoulter0-6 6-3 6-3W

Hard court stats

Townsend
Stat
Paolini
56.6%
Win rate
54.2%
150–115
W–L
147–124

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2

Head to head

01
Clay 01
T. Townsend vs J. Paolini head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
FlorenceClayFinalPaolini6-3 7-5