B. Bonzi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving B. Bonzi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.7, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.