ValenciaClay1/16-finals13 May 2026 · 18:10
M. Berrettini
#105 · Italy
VS
T. Daniel
#328 · Japan
BERRETTINI
1.139
·
DANIEL
6.29

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Daniel
Winner
1.139
6.29
Total
line 20.5
1.9
Over 20.5
1.8
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.5
2.2
Over 21.5
1.6
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.65
-4.5 games
2.1
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.2
-5.5 games
1.62
+5.5 games

Player analysis

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -0.65Trend mixed

T. Daniel has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.8 to 20.8, with at least one match where T. Daniel was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving T. Daniel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.73Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Daniel
66.9%
Win rate
57.5%
105–52
W–L
244–180

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Hard 11
Clay 01
M. Berrettini vs T. Daniel head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP Indian WellsHard1/32-finalsDaniel6-7 3-6
NapoliHardQuarter-finalsBerrettini2-6 3-6
IstanbulClay1/16-finalsDaniel7-5 6-3