D. Merida Aguilar has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.5 to 13.5, with at least one match where D. Merida Aguilar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Mannarino comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.0, meaning A. Mannarino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Mannarino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.