M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

R. Collignon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.1 to 16.8, with at least one match where R. Collignon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Collignon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.