MiamiHard1/16-finals25 Mar 2025 · 00:00
M. Berrettini
#68 · Italy
VS
Z. Bergs
#45 · Belgium

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Bergs
Winner

Player analysis

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -4Trend up

Z. Bergs comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.5, meaning Z. Bergs has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving Z. Bergs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Z. Bergs has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -45 over recent matches.

DS -10.5Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

6 MarZverev3-6 4-6L
5 MarMannarino4-6 7-5 7-5W
24 FebNava6-3 6-4L
20 FebLajovic3-6 6-4 6-2W
20 FebBuse6-3 2-6 6-3L
Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

7 MarPaul1-6 2-6L
4 MarStruff6-3 6-4W
24 FebBrooksby3-6 4-6L
18 FebLehecka6-2 6-1L
17 FebPerricard6-3 6-7 6-4W

Hard court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Bergs
58.8%
Win rate
57.3%
150–105
W–L
137–102

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted10%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults3

Head to head

10
Hard 10
M. Berrettini vs Z. Bergs head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHard1/16-finalsBerrettini6-4 6-4