Monte CarloClayATP Final5 Apr 2026 · 13:35
A. Shevchenko
#74 · Kazakhstan
VS
R. Bautista-Agut
#93 · Spain

Odds

Market
Shevchenko
Bautista-Agut
Winner
Total
line 22.5
2.05
Over 22.5
1.78
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.7
Over 21.5
1.98
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
2.22
-3.0 games
1.57
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.58
+2.0 games
2.2
-2 games

Player analysis

A. Shevchenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.3, meaning A. Shevchenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Shevchenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Shevchenko has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -3.34Trend mixed

R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.82Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Shevchenko
Stat
Bautista-Agut
60.1%
Win rate
56.8%
125–83
W–L
154–117

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults0
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults1