N. Basilashvili comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning N. Basilashvili has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Basilashvili vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.