Odds
Player analysis
N. Basilashvili comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning N. Basilashvili has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Basilashvili vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
S. Ofner comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 10.3, with at least one match where S. Ofner was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving S. Ofner vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Ofner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Apr | Kypson | 7-6 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Travaglia | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Quinn | 2-6 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 5 Apr | Garin | 5-7 0-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Struff | 3-6 3-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 14 Apr | Minaur | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 12 Apr | Kypson | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 11 Apr | Quilez | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 28 Mar | Carreno-Busta | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 27 Mar | Cecchinato | 7-6 7-5 | W |

