Odds
Player analysis
E. Moller has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.9. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Moller vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
N. Basilashvili has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.7 to 3.6, with at least one match where N. Basilashvili was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Basilashvili vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Basilashvili has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 17 May | Piros | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 14 May | Silva | 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 14 May | Andrade | 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 13 May | Fatic | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | W |
| 4 May | Basilashvili | 6-4 2-6 6-7 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 18 May | Dias | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 12 May | Rublev | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 11 May | Nakashima | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 9 May | Shelton | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | W |
| 7 May | Aguilar | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | W |

