MiamiHardWTA 1/32-finals20 Mar 2026 · 22:25
H. Baptiste
#45 · USA
VS
BAPTISTE
1.87
·
SAMSONOVA
2.02

Odds

Market
Baptiste
Samsonova
Winner
1.87
2.02
Total
line 22.5
2.05
Over 22.5
1.81
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.73
Over 21.5
2
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.66
+2.5 games
2.09
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.18
-2.5 games
1.64
+2.5 games

Player analysis

H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS 6Trend mixed

L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning L. Samsonova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Samsonova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -5.94Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWLWL

3W 2L last 5

20 MarSamsonova6-3 7-5W
19 MarMaria7-5 6-2W
7 MarRybakina6-7 6-2 2-6L
6 MarArango6-2 2-6 3-6W
14 FebSramkova3-6 5-7L
Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

20 MarBaptiste6-3 7-5L
7 MarKrueger6-3 5-7 2-6L
15 FebFernandez7-5 5-7 3-6L
8 FebFrech3-6 6-4 6-7L
5 FebBaptiste2-6 6-4 4-6L

Hard court stats

Baptiste
Stat
Samsonova
52.8%
Win rate
38.5%
102–91
W–L
10–16

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults5

Head to head

30
Hard 20
Clay 10
H. Baptiste vs L. Samsonova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHardWTA 1/32-finalsBaptiste6-3 7-5
WTA Abu DhabiHardQuarter-finalsBaptiste2-6 6-4 4-6
RomeClay1/32-finalsBaptiste6-3 2-6 6-4