H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.0, meaning H. Baptiste has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.6 to 32.6, with at least one match where L. Samsonova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.