Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning L. Samsonova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Samsonova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Mar | Samsonova | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 19 Mar | Maria | 7-5 6-2 | W |
| 7 Mar | Rybakina | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Arango | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Sramkova | 3-6 5-7 | L |
0W 5L last 5
| 20 Mar | Baptiste | 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 7 Mar | Krueger | 6-3 5-7 2-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Fernandez | 7-5 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Feb | Frech | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 5 Feb | Baptiste | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Hard | WTA 1/32-finals | Baptiste | 6-3 7-5 | |
| WTA Abu Dhabi | Hard | Quarter-finals | Baptiste | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | |
| Rome | Clay | 1/32-finals | Baptiste | 6-3 2-6 6-4 |

