StrasbourgClay1/16-finals18 May 2026 · 10:35
D. Kasatkina
#53 · Australia
VS
L. Samsonova
#27 · World
KASATKINA
1.79
·
SAMSONOVA
2.1

Odds

Market
Kasatkina
Samsonova
Winner
1.79
2.1
Total
line 18.5
1.33
Over 18.5
2.95
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.48
Over 19.5
2.38
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
4.07
-5.5 games
1.24
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
1.48
-3.5 games
2.66
+3.5 games

Player analysis

D. Kasatkina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 62. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.7 to 23.7, with at least one match where D. Kasatkina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 9.88Trend mixed

L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.6 to 32.6, with at least one match where L. Samsonova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.32Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kasatkina
Stat
Samsonova
63.4%
Win rate
52.1%
97–56
W–L
49–45

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Clay 10
Grass 01
Hard 01
D. Kasatkina vs L. Samsonova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
StrasbourgClayWTA 1/16-finalsKasatkina7-5 6-3
WimbledonGrass1/16-finalsSamsonova2-6 3-6
Indian WellsHard1/16-finalsSamsonova6-2 3-6 2-6