MiamiHard23 Mar 2026 · 16:00
H. Baptiste
#45 · USA
VS
J. Ostapenko
#24 · Latvia

Odds

Market
Baptiste
Ostapenko
Change
Winner
Total
line 20.5
1.7
Over 20.5
2.05
Under 20.5
Total
line 22.5
2.09
Over 22.5
1.66
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.55
+3.5 games
2.3
-3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.72
+2.5 games
2.03
-2.5 games

Player analysis

H. Baptiste shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 44. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.6 to 20.4, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 9.19Trend mixed

J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.0 to 6.0, with at least one match where J. Ostapenko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.56Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Baptiste
Stat
Ostapenko
52.8%
Win rate
57%
102–91
W–L
207–156

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults5