MiamiHard1/8-finals23 Mar 2026 · 20:35
H. Baptiste
#26 · USA
VS
J. Ostapenko
#31 · Latvia
BAPTISTE
1.94
·
OSTAPENKO
1.96

Odds

Market
Baptiste
Ostapenko
Winner
1.94
1.96
Total
line 17.5
1.13
Over 17.5
4.6
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.15
Over 18.0
4.3
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
1.44
-3.5 games
2.78
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.5
-3.0 games
2.61
+3 games

Player analysis

H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.0, meaning H. Baptiste has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -4.96Trend mixed

J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.0 to 28.1, with at least one match where J. Ostapenko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.7Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Baptiste
Stat
Ostapenko
52.8%
Win rate
57%
102–91
W–L
216–163

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults5