Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
T. Maria comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.5, meaning T. Maria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving T. Maria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Rybakina | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Arango | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Sramkova | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 13 Feb | Zhang | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 6 Feb | Alexandrova | 6-3 6-7 3-6 | L |

