MiamiHardWTA 1/64-finals19 Mar 2026 · 21:50
H. Baptiste
#45 · USA
VS
T. Maria
#59 · Germany
BAPTISTE
1.22
·
MARIA
4.67

Odds

Market
Baptiste
Maria
Winner
1.22
4.67
Total
line 20.5
2
Over 20.5
1.84
Under 20.5
Total
line 19.5
1.94
Over 19.5
1.95
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.71
-4.5 games
2.01
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.62
-6.5 games
1.41
+6.5 games

Player analysis

H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS 6Trend mixed

T. Maria comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.5, meaning T. Maria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving T. Maria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS -10.52Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

7 MarRybakina6-7 6-2 2-6L
6 MarArango6-2 2-6 3-6W
14 FebSramkova3-6 5-7L
13 FebZhang6-4 6-4W
6 FebAlexandrova6-3 6-7 3-6L
Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

4 MarCirstea6-4 4-6 6-3L
24 FebLinette7-6 6-3L
15 FebBirrell4-6 6-3 5-7L
9 FebNavarro7-5 6-1L
3 FebVolynets5-7 1-6L

Hard court stats

Baptiste
Stat
Maria
52.8%
Win rate
49.2%
102–91
W–L
244–252

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3