Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Z. Bai shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 122. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.4 to 22.0, with at least one match where Z. Bai was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving Z. Bai vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Apr | Baptiste | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 27 Apr | Osaka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Cristian | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 23 Apr | Stearns | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 28 Mar | Gauff | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 21 Jan | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 18 Jan | Pavlyuchenkova | 4-6 6-2 6-7 | W |
| 15 Jan | Vidmanova | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 14 Jan | Paquet | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Jan | Korneeva | 6-4 6-3 | W |

