M. Kukushkin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.3 to 22.3, with at least one match where M. Kukushkin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Kukushkin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +25 over the last five.

R. Carballes Baena shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 167. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.