R. Sakamoto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.5 to 11.7, with at least one match where R. Sakamoto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.