MurciaClayFinal22 Mar 2026 · 11:00
R. Carballes Baena
#165 · Spain
VS
P. Carreno-Busta
#117 · Spain
BAENA
2.87
·
CARRENO-BUSTA
1.46

Odds

Market
Baena
Carreno-Busta
Winner
2.87
1.46
Total
line 18.5
1.24
Over 18.5
3.46
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.3
Over 19.0
2.97
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
2.24
-2.0 games
1.68
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.02
-2.5 games
1.69
+2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Carballes Baena shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 167. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS -1.45Trend mixed

P. Carreno-Busta arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS 13.91Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Baena
Stat
Carreno-Busta
61.3%
Win rate
64.6%
460–291
W–L
267–146

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults1

Head to head

21
Indoor 10
Clay 11
R. Carballes Baena vs P. Carreno-Busta head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
RotterdamIndoorSemi-finalsBaena4-6 6-3 1-6
ATP MallorcaClay1/16-finalsBaena7-6 4-6 7-6
TangerClayQuarter-finalsCarreno-Busta6-2 1-6 5-7