Odds
Player analysis
R. Carballes Baena shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 167. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
P. Carreno-Busta arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 21 Mar | Jong | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Ofner | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kukushkin | 1-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Izquierdo | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 10 Mar | Vasa | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 21 Mar | Coppejans | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 20 Mar | Pellegrino | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Gill | 6-4 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Jover | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Lehecka | 6-7 4-6 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotterdam | Indoor | Semi-finals | Baena | 4-6 6-3 1-6 | |
| ATP Mallorca | Clay | 1/16-finals | Baena | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | |
| Tanger | Clay | Quarter-finals | Carreno-Busta | 6-2 1-6 5-7 |

