Odds
Player analysis
V. Vacherot comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 30 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.3 to 11.6, with at least one match where V. Vacherot was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving V. Vacherot vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
T. Atmane comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.9 with a downward trend. T. Atmane is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving T. Atmane vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 11 Apr | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 10 Apr | Minaur | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 9 Apr | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Musetti | 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 6 Apr | Cerundolo | 5-7 6-2 6-1 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Etcheverry | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Apr | Quinn | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 24 Mar | Tiafoe | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Rinderknech | 7-6 6-3 | W |

