ShanghaiHard1/64-finals2 Oct 2025 · 13:50
M. Arnaldi
#104 · Italy
VS
R. Sakamoto
#153 · Japan
ARNALDI
1.63
·
SAKAMOTO
2.4

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
Sakamoto
Winner
1.63
2.4
Total
line 19.5
1.25
Over 19.5
3.35
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.28
Over 20.0
3.22
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
6.15
-6.5 games
1.08
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
4.93
-5.5 games
1.12
+5.5 games

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 41. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 10.6, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.25Trend mixed

R. Sakamoto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning R. Sakamoto has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Sakamoto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -2.88Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
Sakamoto
50.3%
Win rate
58.3%
81–80
W–L
67–48

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults2